In Focus

Death of the marketing budget

Buying $10 for $5

Over the past decade, marketing has become more complex and harder to execute. Audience fragmentation has accelerated each year of the new millennium, making old stand-bys like upfront TV buys and mass-market targeting seem ossified and indefensible to all but the largest brands. There has also been democratization of content as citizen bloggers and social media replaced networks and magazines as authoritative contexts where product shout-outs and endorsements drive sales and market share. Add to all of this the proliferation of digital media channels -- email, search, social, mobile, and display -- and it is easy to see how unfit for duty yesterday's marketing assumptions and budgets have become.

More importantly, advertising and marketing have become more targeted and measurable, appropriately raising expectations. We can now determine, with accuracy and predictability, marketing ROI by the specific campaign and/or program component. In this environment, early 20th century department store mogul John Wanamaker's cry for help ("Half the money I spend on advertising is wasted; the trouble is I don't know which half.") is dead -- and soon to follow it into the grave will be the annual, set-in-stone marketing budget.

Performance marketing's advantage
What if I offered to sell you $10 bills for $5 dollars each -- how many would you want? What would your budget for $10 bills be? Most of us would choose to not cap our spend, taking as many of the crisp ten spots as were available. The implication is that if you know you are going to make a profit, the constraint is not a budget but the supply of profit drivers. Online advertising and the performance marketing revolution that has helped fuel its growth has enabled CMOs to figuratively buy $10 bills for $5 each. Good performance marketing online offers the opportunity to spend adverting and marketing dollars that create demonstrable profits at a predictable and repeatable rate.

Building marketing programs with predictable and reliable profits is the original promise of marketing on the internet but, as stated earlier, is hard to do and getting more complex. Online performance marketers start with the premise that advertisers will reach the right customers (i.e., those who are in market with a demonstrable interest in your product or service). This enables advertisers to only pay for the action (the search click, the form fill, etc.) that is proof positive the potential customer is in the market and considering your particular offering.

 

Comments

Marjory Meechan
Marjory Meechan January 13, 2010 at 6:11 PM

I think MediaWhiz has the right idea in pursuing this line. it just makes sense. The only issue that I can see would be in the evaluation of performance - both for the advertiser and the marketing firm.

Peter Klein
Peter Klein January 4, 2010 at 1:06 PM

I completely agree with Jonathan. There is a reason that affiliate marketing is considered performance marketing – you pay ONLY for performance. Optimize the proper channels and there should never be a lead or budget restraint.

I like the analogy of buying $10 bills for $5. With Affiliate Summit West in Las Vegas coming up in 2 weeks, I'll take those odds of winning to the bank every time!

Scott Bauman
Scott Bauman December 17, 2009 at 3:31 PM

Nice piece Jonathan. Well argued and timely. I think the best days are ahead for analytic-driven performance marketing. Until now, most talk about analytics and measurement has been just talk. Many companies now have real religion thanks to the visibility online marketing affords. For others, your piece will be welcome prophecy.

Thanks.

Richard Roberts
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Mary Jefferson
Mary Jefferson December 16, 2009 at 10:59 AM

I mostly agree with you. Internet marketing has made our jobs easier in some ways and we can more accurately determine successful campaigns using various tracking mechanisms. There are, however, two factors that limit the ability to accurately determine the ROI for a company. One of those factors is the projected length of time between when a person researches the product or service he/she is interested in and the day he/she agrees to acquire the service. In some industries, that can be months. Quite often, in fact, the research is done on an anonymous basis. The browser doesn't want to fill out any form or request any information until later. And later, might be months later and it might be by phone. Most companies don't have the capability to track a browser who came to the site 3 months ago and know that it is the same person who made the phone call today, asking for more information.

Secondly - many companies sell products through a third party. Take insurance for example. The insurance company may promote a product through their website, but the business customer is purchasing the product through his/her broker. If that's the case, the browser might send the information to his/her broker. If the broker has a relationship with the insurance company already, chances are the inquiry is made through a phone call.

In both cases above, click throughs are recorded but there is very little chance that the resulting sale is credited to the internet advertising campaign.

masn masn
masn masn December 16, 2009 at 10:40 AM

Glad you're shining a light on this topic. In my experience, especially with the financial implosions this year, performance is gaining ground.

Agencies can play a role in driving this more highly evolved business model by moving to more performance-based engagements as well.

As you rightly point out, "While these principles, are simple, execution is hard because online programs have many key success factors." The complexity increases considerably when you fold agency compensation into the mix. It requires a level of collaboration and transparency (between agencies & clients as well as amongst various agencies serving the same clients) that's not the norm.

However, finding the win/win is a laudable pursuit. For more on this, see:

Advertising Agency Compensation - Exploring Alternatives
http://pm2pm.blogspot.com/2009/01/advertising-agency-compensation.html

Fred Buhr
Fred Buhr December 16, 2009 at 9:34 AM

marketing budget is dead, long live cost of sales!

Mark Patron
Mark Patron December 16, 2009 at 8:19 AM

Hi Jonathan,

Great article. It is extraordinary that while the internet is so measurable and accountable it has taken this long for a wholesome ROI approach. There has been too much build it and they will come, and if we get our brand out in front of enough eyeballs we will be OK. There is no doubt performance marketing programs that provide increasing and demonstrable profits will replace set budgets going forward.

All the best

Mark