In Focus

Interactive strategies that will flourish

Prediction 1

The dawn of a new year is an opportunity to look ahead and guess what will happen next. Some of these predictions just might catch you by surprise. Others might seem obvious, and some reflect my own perspective or pet peeves. 

These 16 predictions are offered with wishes for happiness and health in 2010. (Thanks to Sherie Anderson who helped with research and front line analysis.)

The recession won't go away
2010 will be as financially challenging as 2009. Credit and employment will be tight. Every expense will be scrutinized and delayed if possible. Temps will trump full-time players, and everyone in every sector will be looking for a deal. Downward price pressure, enforced by bean counters eager to save their own jobs, will rule the marketing sector and probably the entire economy. Emphasis on new customer acquisition will change slightly to retention because it's cheaper and has a much greater ROI impact, though since so few marketers are good at retention, expect more propaganda than productivity.

Traditional big ad spenders -- banks, automotive, retail, airlines, and CPG -- will spend cautiously, flap their lips about CRM, experiment with social media, and find a hundred new ways to package and promote discounts and deals. B2B marketers will hunker down and stick to stuff that works with an occasional foray into social or mobile media to establish bragging rights behind a steady beat of plain vanilla efforts on the CRM front.

 

Comments

Alan Gerson
Alan Gerson January 11, 2010 at 1:20 PM

Great Article Daniel. One other change which I believe will dramatically affect Interactive, as well as all marketing, in the next year is the growth of sponsorship and promotion spending and the decrease in "traditional" advertising budgets.
"Below the line" marketing expenditures including all types of reward and incentive based promotions (sweeps, contest, loyalty/rewards, couponing etc.) will continue to grow because such promotions always produce a tangible and measurable result in terms of database building, real engagement, ability to encourage virality, gathering of actionable demographic and behavioral data, and the ability to incent and track purchase behavior.
Online and interactive technologies greatly empower such promotions and, in my opinion, they will be an increasingly important factor in Interative marketing.

Alan Gerson, CEO, Enteractive Solutions Group, Inc.

Reverend Johnny Muscatel
Reverend Johnny Muscatel January 6, 2010 at 9:06 AM

There are days when I want to throw away my laptop and my cell phone. After reading this article, today seems like a good day to do that. Here is my prediction for 2010: The world will become even colder. I am not trying to refute the global warming campaign; I am referring to the condition of the global heart. It already is cold; it will become colder.
This should come as no surprise. You can take all the technological advances there have been since the wheel and the telephone were invented and you will not come across anything as supernaturally engineered as The Bible. The Bible predicts the state of the world today and the stage is set for massive turmoil. The technological communication landscape is ripe for a Viral Ruler. The Enemy has always been behind technology. You can disguise it as advancments in marketing. You can acronym the hell out of it. You can find yourself making six figures because you live, eat and breathe apps. By the way, what is an app? The problem is that we are all dancing with the devil; myself included.
I'd like the song and dance to end, but it won't. Not even for me. Here is my prediction. This next decade will be exponentially worse than the 0's. The reason is because people will continue to punch buttons and strike keys instead of actually communicate. Ask yourself, who is your god? I don't need a Blackberry to pray. Other than that, good article.

Kym Romanets
Kym Romanets January 6, 2010 at 8:59 AM

I've rarely read an article I actually agree with. But this one I think is a good prediction of 2010 explained in a way even customers would understand.