Digital interactions have always been one-on-one. You don't use your computer or surf the web with other people watching over your shoulder. We don't invite friends over to gather around a computer to watch movies. But that's starting to change.
Today's mobile computer usage reminds me of the early days of digital photography. When people first started using digital cameras, the first thing they did after taking a picture was to quickly turn the camera around and show their friends the photo on the back of the camera. The same thing is now happening with mobile. Photos taken on smartphones are often shared with other people immediately via text, Facebook, Instagram, and via other means. This includes the people sitting on the couch next to them.
Tablets are often handed to friends to have them watch what the tablet owner just saw on YouTube. This is going to be further compounded as your tablet and television become even more integrated. Find what you want to share and slide it from your tablet to your TV for everyone in the room to enjoy. In 2013, marketers will be challenged to find new ways to encourage shareable moments -- and support them with the newest form of "send to a friend."
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I agree with Judd. QR codes are declared dead from the moment it was introduced. That is bevause most marketeers are years behind in their knowledge on mobile marketing and have no clue in using QR codes in a manner that it really pays off. In the Netherlands we provide marketeers with QR code software that goes much further that just linking to online information. And the market in the EU is only growing. A thing of witch we think lacks in this article is the rise of Augmented Reality and Geo-Based communication and virtual shopping. But hey, there is a sea of predictions in the ocean of digital marketing. Nice article anyway.
Many thanks for this clear list. It helps to find our way in this jungle of so many new technologies. I think the main challenge of Digital in 2013 will be to propose a Cross Channel Customer experience (SoLoMo) choosing the right technology with each media.
As marketers, for us and our customers to equally derive value from the new Digital channels, we surely need to agree to create valuable content that is optimised / versioned to be relevant for not only the Digital medium but also the device. And, is delivered by a meaningful integrated sales and marketing strategy and plan that has 'customer focus' at its core. Lest we risk reduced customer usage, reliance and trust from these new channels and what we pump into them. Worse still we risk providing a negative customer experience that undoes all the good brand work and investment we make. We've probably all witnessed over and incorrect usage of direct mail and telemarketing. I hope that 2013 and beyond we collectively positively contribute to shaping Digital for mutual success!
While I agree with many of your points, I disagree with the death of QR Codes in 2013. The story of their demise has been told for years. First, they live strong outside of the US. I don't see a timeline to their death overseas. Second, until something comes to replace them, they will still be used. I agree and it is unfortunate, that marketers have failed miserably to use them correctly and take advantage of their capabilities.
In fact, I believe in almost all of the predictions but the best for me is the direct video sharing. I'm sure this is doing to happen soon in 2013 or 2014 and will bring a lot of new challenges for the marketers.
Why should anyone believe these predictions to be any more accurate than the usual (wrong) ones?
Hi Peter - thank you for sharing your insights and predictions. My personal favorites is :"....usage and impact of tablets and smartphones varies greatly. Smart marketers will start delineating their messaging accordingly."I certainly hope so. It seems to be that many people group tablets even under the 'print' category, when looking at many content apps (pdf-replicas) out there today.
Nice recap of your 2013 predictions, Peter. I wholeheartedly agree about QR codes. I think they have always been clunky at best, and require too much work for the user. They have been approached and perceived as a novelty, and many have spent time and money on them before focusing on existing forms of engagement and interaction that users are already using. Also, this is music to my ears: "Marketers will finally tire of trying to manage and lead the conversation in social. They will instead focus on surrounding and participating in conversations."While I do believe marketers and brands will be looked to as leaders in many of the discussions taking place out there, and should continue doing so, there has not been enough bench strength in engagement and interaction. No brand should let clients, customers, naysayers or brand advocates post alone, but should be engaging in conversation that acknowledges and discusses their comments. If people take enough of their valuable time to engage a brand in Social, then firms/companies/brands owe it to them to show respect by continuing the discussion. Again, thanks for sharing your predictions.
Great article Peter.This isn't the first time I've heard about the imminent death of the QR code. However, don't you think it could be useful, if only the hardware could make it convenient?. Being a right-hand finger & thumb typist - never code get my left thumb to cooperate - I would love to be able to have the camera recognise the code and open the appropriate website. At least on the iPhone it is quick to open the camera now. However I agree that marketing have also to make appropriate use of it for the QR code to have any value.Not sure which of these is the real problem!
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